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CAPITAL INTELLIFENCE (CI) RATINGS OF ARAB BANKS INCLUDING SOVEREIGN RATINGS

BAHRAIN EGYPT JORDAN KUWAIT LEBANON MOROCCO
OMAN QATAR SAUDI ARABIA TUNISIA U.A.E. YEMEN
RATING DEFINITIONS

All ratings are reviewed on a regular basis Ratings in lower case refer to rating assessments

RATING DEFINITIONS

Foreign and Local Currency Ratings

Foreign currency ratings refer to an entity’s ability and willingness to meet its foreign currency denominated financial obligations as they come due. Foreign currency ratings take into account the likelihood of a government imposing restrictions on the conversion of local currency to foreign currency or on the transfer of foreign currency to residents and non-residents.

Local currency ratings for non-sovereign issuers are an opinion of an entity’s ability and willingness to meet all of its financial obligations on a timely basis, regardless of the currency in which those obligations are denominated and absent transfer and convertibility restrictions. Both foreign currency and local currency ratings are internationally comparable assessments.

Foreign and local currency ratings take into account the economic, financial and country risks that may affect creditworthiness as well as the likelihood that an entity would receive external support in the event of financial difficulties.

Ratings assigned to banks and corporates are generally not higher than the local and foreign currency ratings assigned by CI to the relevant sovereign government. However, it may be possible for an issuer with particular strengths and attributes such as inherent financial strength, geographically diversified cash flow, substantial foreign assets, and guaranteed external support, to be rated above the sovereign.

The following rating scale applies to both foreign currency and local currency ratings. Short-term ratings assess the time period up to one year.

Long-Term Issuer Ratings

Investment Grade

AAA
The highest credit quality. Exceptional capacity for timely fulfilment of financial obligations and most unlikely to be affected by any foreseeable adversity. Extremely strong financial condition and very positive non-financial factors.

AA Very high credit quality. Very strong capacity for timely fulfilment of financial obligations. Unlikely to have repayment problems over the long term and unquestioned over the short and medium terms. Adverse changes in business, economic and financial conditions are unlikely to affect the institution significantly.

A High credit quality. Strong capacity for timely fulfilment of financial obligations. Possesses many favourable credit characteristics but may be slightly vulnerable to adverse changes in business, economic and financial conditions.

BBB Good credit quality. Satisfactory capacity for timely fulfilment of financial obligations. Acceptable credit characteristics but some vulnerability to adverse changes in business, economic and financial conditions. Medium grade credit characteristics and the lowest investment grade category.
Speculative Grade

BB Speculative credit quality. Capacity for timely fulfilment of financial obligations is vulnerable to adverse changes in internal or external circumstances. Financial and/or non-financial factors do not provide significant safeguard and the possibility of investment risk may develop.

B Significant credit risk. Capacity for timely fulfilment of financial obligations is very vulnerable to adverse changes in internal or external circumstances. Financial and/or non-financial factors provide weak protection; high probability for investment risk exists.

C Substantial credit risk is apparent and the likelihood of default is high. Considerable uncertainty as to the timely repayment of financial obligations. Credit is of poor standing with financial and/or non-financial factors providing little protection.

RS Regulatory supervision. The obligor is under the regulatory supervision of the authorities due to its weak financial condition. The likelihood of default is extremely high without continued external support.

SD Selective default. The obligor has failed to service one or more financial obligations but CI believes that the default will be restricted in scope and that the obligor will continue honouring other financial commitments in a timely manner.

D The obligor has defaulted on all, or nearly all, of its financial obligations.

Short-Term Issuer Ratings

Investment Grade

A1 Superior credit quality. Highest capacity for timely repayment of short-term financial obligations that is extremely unlikely to be affected by unexpected adversities. Institutions with a particularly strong credit profile have a “+” affixed to the rating.

A2 Very strong capacity for timely repayment but may be affected slightly by unexpected adversities.

A3 Strong capacity for timely repayment that may be affected by unexpected adversities.

Speculative Grade

B Adequate capacity for timely repayment that could be seriously affected by unexpected adversities.

C Inadequate capacity for timely repayment if unexpected adversities are encountered in the short term.

RS Regulatory supervision. The obligor is under the regulatory supervision of the authorities due to its weak financial condition. The likelihood of default is extremely high without continued external support.

SD Selective default. The obligor has failed to service one or more financial obligations but CI believes that the default will be restricted in scope and that the obligor will continue honouring other financial commitments in a timely manner.

D The obligor has defaulted on all, or nearly all, of its financial obligations.

Capital Intelligence appends “+” and “-” signs to foreign and local currency long term ratings in the categories from “AA” to “C” to indicate that the strength of a particular bank is, respectively, slightly greater or less than that of similarly rated peers.

Outlook – expectations of improvement, no change or deterioration in a rating over the 12 months following its publication are denoted Positive, Stable or Negative.

Qualified – in cases where data and/or co-operation are such that it is not possible to formulate ratings to CI’s high standards of robustness and reliability the letter “q” is appended to the ratings.

Financial Strength Ratings

CI’s financial strength ratings provide an opinion of a bank’s inherent financial strength, soundness and risk profile. These ratings do not address sovereign risk factors, including transfer risk, which may affect an institution’s capacity to honour its financial obligations, be they local or foreign currency. Financial strength ratings also exclude support factors, which are addressed by foreign and local currency ratings, as well as CI’s support ratings. However, financial strength ratings do take into account the bank’s operating environment including the economy, the structure, strength and stability of the financial system, the legal system, and the quality of banking regulation and supervision. Financial strength ratings do not assess the likelihood that specific obligations will be repaid in a timely manner.

The following rating scale applies to the financial strength rating.

AAA Financially in extremely strong condition with positive financial trends; significant strengths in other non-financial areas. Operating environment likely to be highly attractive and stable.

AA Financially in very strong condition and significant strengths in other non-financial areas. Operating environment likely to be very attractive and stable.

A Strong financial fundamentals and very favourable non-financial considerations. Operating environment may be unstable but institution’s market position and/or financial strength more than compensate.

BBB Basically sound overall; slight weaknesses in financial or other factors could be remedied fairly easily. May be limited by unstable operating environment.

BB One or two significant weaknesses in the bank’s financial makeup could cause problems. May be characterised by a limited franchise; other factors may not be sufficient to avoid a need for some degree of temporary external support in cases of extraordinary adversity. Unstable operating environment likely.

B Fundamental weaknesses are present in the bank’s financial condition or trends, and other factors are unlikely to provide strong protection from unexpected adversities; in such an event, the need for external support is likely. Bank may be constrained by weak market position and/or volatile operating environment.

C In a very weak financial condition, either with immediate problems or with limited capacity to withstand adversities. May be operating in a highly volatile operating environment.

D Extremely weak financial condition and may be in an untenable position.
Capital Intelligence appends “+” and “-” signs to financial strength ratings in the categories from “AA” to “C” to indicate that the strength of a particular institution is, respectively, slightly greater or less than that of similarly rated peers.

Outlook – expectations of improvement, no change or deterioration in a rating over the 12 months following its publication are denoted Positive, Stable or Negative.

Qualified – in cases where data and/or co-operation are such that it is not possible to formulate ratings to CI’s high standards of robustness and reliability the letter “q” is appended to the ratings.

Support Ratings

CI’s support ratings assess the likelihood that, in the event of difficulties, a bank would receive sufficient financial assistance from the government or private owners to enable it to continue meeting its financial obligations in a timely manner. Support ratings complement CI’s financial strength ratings which, in effect, indicate the likelihood that a bank will fail due to inherent financial weaknesses and/or an unstable operating environment and therefore may require external support to avoid defaulting on its obligations. Neither financial strength ratings or support ratings take account of transfer and convertibility risks associated with sovereign events. The overall creditworthiness of an institution and default risk is captured by CI’s foreign currency ratings. Foreign currency ratings take into account all factors affecting the likelihood of repayment including inherent financial strength, external support, the operating environment, and sovereign-related risks.

Although subjective, support ratings are based on a thorough assessment of a bank’s ownership, market position and importance within the sector and economy, as well as the country’s regulatory and supervisory framework and the credit standing of potential supporters.

The following rating scale applies to support ratings.

1. The likelihood of a bank receiving support in the event of difficulties is extremely high. The characteristics of a bank with this support rating may include strong government ownership and/or clear legal guarantees on the part of the state. The bank may also be of such importance to the national economy that state intervention is virtually assured. The ability and willingness of potential supporters to provide sufficient and timely support is extremely strong.

2. The likelihood of support is very high. The ability and willingness of potential supporters to provide sufficient and timely support is very strong.

3. The likelihood of support is high. The ability and willingness of potential supporters to provide sufficient and timely support is strong.

4. The likelihood of support is moderate. There is some uncertainty about the ability and willingness of potential supporters to provide sufficient and timely assistance.
5. The likelihood of support is low. There is considerable uncertainty about the ability and willingness of potential supporters to provide sufficient and timely assistance.
 

 





 

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